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Review changes in working capital to spot operational shifts

Review changes in working capital to spot operational shifts

06/18/2025
Matheus Moraes
Review changes in working capital to spot operational shifts

In today’s fast-paced environment, businesses navigate a landscape of volatility and uncertainty. By reviewing shifts in working capital, leaders can uncover hidden operational trends, anticipate challenges, and drive strategic decisions.

Working Capital Trends Shaping the Future

Economic conditions in 2024 and 2025 have underscored the critical role of working capital. New inflationary pressures, geopolitical tensions, and supply chain disruptions have propelled firms to prioritize liquidity.

High interest rates and supply chain instability are squeezing margins and demanding more efficient cash flow management. Simultaneously, evolving regulations and cyber threats compel organizations to maintain detailed visibility over their financial health.

  • Economic volatility driving liquidity buffers
  • Regulatory changes increasing financial control
  • Technological disruption offering real-time insights

Advanced automation, cloud solutions, and AI-powered treasury platforms are transforming how teams forecast, monitor, and optimize working capital, enabling proactive cash management decisions instead of reactive maneuvers.

Key Metrics to Monitor

Monitoring the right metrics is essential to detect operational shifts early. Below is a concise overview of the core indicators every finance leader should track:

In 2024, 51% of firms reported shorter cash conversion cycles after adopting flexible financing, freeing billions in trapped working capital. Globally, $1.76 trillion remained locked up in current operations, underscoring the immense opportunity for improvement.

Strategies to Optimize Working Capital

Effective management starts with a structured approach. Companies typically fall into four maturity segments in 2025:

  • Onlookers (16%): No defined strategy, manual processes, siloed data.
  • Adopters (63%): Basic KPIs, some financing, limited integration.
  • Transformers (21%): Advanced analytics, multiple funding sources, structured approach.
  • Innovators (0%): AI-driven forecasting, enterprise-wide cash culture, executive KPIs.

To accelerate maturity, firms should focus on three interlinked priorities:

  1. Centralize cash management processes to enhance visibility and reduce costs.
  2. Invest in technology and analytics for real-time forecasting and proactive decision-making.
  3. Balance liquidity and profitability by optimizing receivables and payables without over-reliance on debt.

Spotting Operational Shifts Early

Monitoring metric trends reveals subtle operational changes before they escalate into risks or opportunities. Key shifts include:

  • Increase in DIO: Signals potential supply chain bottlenecks or excess inventory.
  • Rise in DSO: Indicates slower collections or issues in credit management.
  • Decrease in DPO: Suggests accelerated payments that could stress cash reserves.
  • Shortening CCC: Reflects improved efficiency in converting assets to cash.
  • Growth in Working Capital Ratio: May point to over-investment in current assets.

By analyzing these changes, finance teams can diagnose root causes—be they supplier delays, customer payment behavior shifts, or production scheduling issues—and implement targeted remedies.

Embedding Maturity as a Competitive Edge

Reaching the “Transformer” stage provides a significant competitive advantage. Only 21% of firms operate at this level, leveraging structured processes and advanced analytics to unlock value. To climb the maturity curve:

  • Implement unified treasury platforms for consolidated cash visibility.
  • Adopt AI-driven forecasting tools for scenario planning and stress testing.
  • Establish enterprise-wide working capital targets and executive-level dashboards.

When technology, process maturity, and a culture of cash excellence converge, organizations can shift from reactive firefighting to strategic cash orchestration.

Charting a Resilient Path Forward

In an era of economic headwinds and rapid change, continuous review of working capital offers a window into operational health and strategic agility. By embracing robust analytics, centralizing cash processes, and cultivating process maturity, finance leaders can detect shifts early and steer their organizations toward sustainable growth.

Every metric tells a story—of inventory bottlenecks, collections challenges, or newfound efficiency. The organizations that listen, adapt, and innovate will emerge stronger, with the resilience to turn uncertainty into opportunity.

Matheus Moraes

About the Author: Matheus Moraes

Matheus Moraes